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What Are the Odds of a Sub Two-Hour Marathon?

Published by
RunnerSpace.com/RoadRacing   Jan 27th 2014, 6:43pm
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Cracking the Sub Two-Hour Marathon

Published by SPIKES Magazine on January 27, 2014

Some say it will never happen, but at SPIKES we like to think that a sub two-hour marathon is merely a matter of time. And with that, here are 13 reasons why @Statman_Jon reckons it might, just might, happen sooner than you think.

1. Steady progression

The world record has improved by almost five minutes in the past twenty years. It has little more than three minutes to go to dip under two hours.

2. Depth of quality

Just ten years ago, only two men had run faster than 2:05. There have now been 37 performances (33 of them on a legal course) faster than 2:05.

3. Diversity

With so many athletes entering the world all-time top 30 each year, it shows the world record is vulnerable.

4. Fresh blood

When Haile Gebrselassie ran his first marathon in 2:06:35, it was the fastest debut in history. It’s now not even among the 20 fastest debuts because there are unheralded teenagers – with nowhere near the pedigree of Gebrselassie – running 2:04 on their debut.



Read the full article at: spikes-mag.tumblr.com

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